February 18, 2019 at 05:35PM Top-down market themes will continue to drive FX-moves and sentiment this week with US-China trade wars, potential EU auto-tariffs and FX volatility all battling for headline space. […]

February 16, 2019 at 04:00PM The Dollar closed out another positive week, but progress towards the multi-year highs set in November and December is frustratingly slow for bulls. So, is it provocative […]

February 16, 2019 at 03:40AM This past week closed with a strong charge higher for the Dow and crude while typical offsets in gold and the Dollar were also firm. This collective […]

February 16, 2019 at 03:36AM With US indices climbing rapidly, emerging markets ready to close the speculative gap and other charts running or gearing up for a charge; what three charts are […]

February 15, 2019 at 04:17AM My medium-term outlook for the US Dollar is bearish owing to its position with risk trends, the shift in monetary policy views and systemic questions related to […]

February 15, 2019 at 02:59AM Trade wars and averting the next US government shutdown remain key headlines for the financial markets, but clear growth readings from the majors take out some of […]

February 14, 2019 at 03:55AM Post-RBNZ, the New Zealand Dollar rallied across the board, and NZDUSD was no exception. Yet, was this the best outlook to take advantage of the volatility? Is […]

February 14, 2019 at 02:50AM How much conviction is there behind the market’s more impressive moves? US equities nudged slightly higher this past session but risk assets struggled. Dollar was recharged after […]

February 13, 2019 at 05:05AM There are three types of market conditions: range, trend and breakout. We dynamically change through these states, but genuine transition happens infrequently. What is our state currently […]

February 13, 2019 at 03:48AM Should we be optimistic? There were reports this past session that the hard trade war cutoff date (March 1) was growing more flexible and a deal to […]

February 12, 2019 at 04:50AM There is compelling technical, fundamental and conditions analysis to be found in the current reflections of EURUSD and USDMXN. Yet, whether these are viable trade considerations for […]

February 12, 2019 at 02:24AM Traditional measures of ‘risk trends’ were listless to start the week; but strong moves from the Dollar, Pound and more signal that these markets are still clearly […]

February 09, 2019 at 06:00PM A seven-day rally for the Dollar was an impressive stretch through this past week, but it hasn’t put the currency in a position to trigger breakouts or […]

February 09, 2019 at 04:45AM Environment has a lot to do with determining whether a specific currency’s breakout stalls or continues forward undeterred. What are the conditions we face with the broader […]

February 09, 2019 at 04:39AM The week ahead does not lack for market-moving theme or event risk. Yet, that doesn’t make the establishment of trend any easier to accomplish. What trading approach […]

February 08, 2019 at 03:10AM Trade wars and global monetary policy are competing for the attention of the markets sparking equal parts speculation and fear. Caught up in the middle of it […]

February 07, 2019 at 05:02AM The S&P 500’s climb has produced an inside day on very thin volume. We shouldn’t call a turn, but it is something for which we should remain […]

February 07, 2019 at 03:04AM Fading growth forecasts, a drop in Fed rate projections and blowback from anti-trade policies pose a general threat to the US Dollar. Yet, there is one, increasingly […]

February 06, 2019 at 04:41AM The markets continue to edge higher but enthusiasm is critically lacking in this crawl higher. Will warnings over trade wars from the UN or events like the […]

February 05, 2019 at 06:00AM Lately, we have seen extraordinary swings in risk trends, shifts in the standings of global monetary policy and a run of data that has raised economic fears […]

February 05, 2019 at 04:00AM Monetary policy and tangible economic cooling have not translated into a meaningful course or pace correction for the S&P 500 and other capital market benchmarks. Will the […]

February 05, 2019 at 04:00AM Monetary policy and tangible economic cooling have not translated into a meaningful course or pace correction for the S&P 500 and other capital market benchmarks. Will the […]

February 02, 2019 at 06:00PM The Dollar extended its tumble this past week helped along by the Fed’s dovish tone. Yet when it was time to establish conviction, bears couldn’t break 8-month […]

February 02, 2019 at 03:59AM Risk assets have extended their recovery with the S&P 500 leading the way with its biggest six-week climb since August 2008. Is there enough fundamental lift to […]

February 01, 2019 at 05:08PM Following the Fed’s signal that it was shifting to a path of ‘patience’, the market raised efforts to chase the same risk-leaning assets it had attached to […]

February 01, 2019 at 05:08PM Following the Fed’s signal that it was shifting to a path of ‘patience’, the market raised efforts to chase the same risk-leaning assets it had attached to […]

February 01, 2019 at 06:14AM Earnings are playing an opportune role to support pre-existing bullish appetite. Facebook offered fuel Thursday and now Amazon can take the baton if bulls are still in […]

January 31, 2019 at 01:38AM The Fed decision proved a worthy fundamental spark for the Dollar and risk trends (like the S&P 500). The jury is still out on trends however. Ahead, […]

January 30, 2019 at 05:24AM The fundamental fireworks are only starting. We have already started the ball rolling through themes and high level event risk, but can the pressure from a EURUSD […]

January 29, 2019 at 03:59AM Though the markets didn’t completely capsize to start the new trading week, they noticeably gapped lower. That despite the end of the US government shutdown late last […]

January 29, 2019 at 03:59AM Though the markets didn’t completely capsize to start the new trading week, they noticeably gapped lower. That despite the end of the US government shutdown late last […]

January 26, 2019 at 01:00PM The Dollar was shaken out of its stasis at the end of the past week with a sharp rally on Thursday and larger tumble Friday. Despite the […]

January 26, 2019 at 02:17AM We ended this week with a few high profile fundamental updates and unexpected volatility from certain market benchmarks. Next week, the laundry list of event risk is […]

January 25, 2019 at 02:33AM The Dow and S&P 500 have positioned for an inevitable break, but that does not ensure follow through. Without a clear and driving fundamental theme, we should […]

January 24, 2019 at 05:46AM GBPUSD was the only one of the ‘majors’ that has earned a critical technical break thus far this week. Yet, this move seems to defy the broader […]

January 24, 2019 at 04:01AM Finally, a break in the rumor-spurred volatility of trade wars and risk trends. Yet, these high level themes remain threats to instability with little warning. Meanwhile, traders’ […]

January 24, 2019 at 04:01AM Finally, a break in the rumor-spurred volatility of trade wars and risk trends. Yet, these high level themes remain threats to instability with little warning. Meanwhile, traders’ […]

January 24, 2019 at 04:01AM Finally, a break in the rumor-spurred volatility of trade wars and risk trends. Yet, these high level themes remain threats to instability with little warning. Meanwhile, traders’ […]

January 24, 2019 at 04:01AM Finally, a break in the rumor-spurred volatility of trade wars and risk trends. Yet, these high level themes remain threats to instability with little warning. Meanwhile, traders’ […]

January 24, 2019 at 04:01AM Finally, a break in the rumor-spurred volatility of trade wars and risk trends. Yet, these high level themes remain threats to instability with little warning. Meanwhile, traders’ […]

January 23, 2019 at 06:00AM In the hierarchy of risk-connected assets, emerging markets have proven one of the most productive (bearish) markets. And, within this vast group, one of my favorite outlets […]

January 23, 2019 at 03:50AM The return of liquidity did few favors for the burgeoning risk appetite reach. A backlog of concern over Chinese GDP from Monday met fresh rumors (this time […]

January 22, 2019 at 12:22AM The S&P 500 is still pointing ambitiously higher…but that is because US markets were closed Monday following Friday’s break. How will trouble reported in Chinese GDP, the […]

January 22, 2019 at 12:22AM The S&P 500 is still pointing ambitiously higher…but that is because US markets were closed Monday following Friday’s break. How will trouble reported in Chinese GDP, the […]

January 22, 2019 at 12:22AM The S&P 500 is still pointing ambitiously higher…but that is because US markets were closed Monday following Friday’s break. How will trouble reported in Chinese GDP, the […]

January 22, 2019 at 12:22AM The S&P 500 is still pointing ambitiously higher…but that is because US markets were closed Monday following Friday’s break. How will trouble reported in Chinese GDP, the […]

January 22, 2019 at 12:22AM The S&P 500 is still pointing ambitiously higher…but that is because US markets were closed Monday following Friday’s break. How will trouble reported in Chinese GDP, the […]

January 19, 2019 at 03:03AM Markets are driving forward despite the interference of distinctly disappointing event risk. It is important to know what dominant themes are influencing markets and where they currently […]

January 19, 2019 at 02:59AM The S&P 500 has shrugged off fundamental threats to surpass the midpoint of its three-month tumble. How will Chinese 4Q GDP, the trade war and ongoing government […]

January 19, 2019 at 02:59AM The S&P 500 has shrugged off fundamental threats to surpass the midpoint of its three-month tumble. How will Chinese 4Q GDP, the trade war and ongoing government […]

January 17, 2019 at 02:00AM The S&P 500 and Dow are moving back up to the levels that triggered the critical bearish breakdown for both over a month ago. Will themes like […]

January 17, 2019 at 02:00AM The S&P 500 and Dow are moving back up to the levels that triggered the critical bearish breakdown for both over a month ago. Will themes like […]

January 16, 2019 at 04:54AM There is an overabundance of high profile fundamental risk floating in the global markets. Yet despite the potential this would insinuate for the markets, volatility is refusing […]

January 16, 2019 at 03:52AM Parliament dealt Prime Minister May a sound – record – defeat on her Brexit proposal Tuesday. Normally, this would be grounds for an epic Sterling tumble, yet […]

January 16, 2019 at 03:52AM Parliament dealt Prime Minister May a sound – record – defeat on her Brexit proposal Tuesday. Normally, this would be grounds for an epic Sterling tumble, yet […]

January 12, 2019 at 09:00AM The Dollar finally broke from its restrictive two-month range this past week, but the fledgling bearish breakdown has proven tepid when it comes to momentum. Will the […]

January 12, 2019 at 09:00AM The Dollar finally broke from its restrictive two-month range this past week, but the fledgling bearish breakdown has proven tepid when it comes to momentum. Will the […]

January 12, 2019 at 08:59AM There are a host of systemic fundamental threats lurking beneath the market’s surface, each with the capacity to trigger collapse. Yet, their existence may also act as […]

January 12, 2019 at 08:59AM There are a host of systemic fundamental threats lurking beneath the market’s surface, each with the capacity to trigger collapse. Yet, their existence may also act as […]

January 12, 2019 at 04:59AM There are a host of systemic fundamental threats lurking beneath the market’s surface, each with the capacity to trigger collapse. Yet, their existence may also act as […]

January 11, 2019 at 04:47AM Risk trends put in for a solid extension of a still-nascent rebound this past week. With the S&P 500 pondering life at former support, we have to […]

January 11, 2019 at 04:47AM Risk trends put in for a solid extension of a still-nascent rebound this past week. With the S&P 500 pondering life at former support, we have to […]

January 11, 2019 at 05:02AM EURUSD finally cleared a multi-month range with explicit technical implications, but the breakout appeal this pattern may harbor for many is proving Continue Reading… From: John Kicklighter […]

January 10, 2019 at 05:08AM Risk trends and US indices are still pointing higher despite the threat from the US government shutdown and trade wars. How long can this charge last, and […]

January 10, 2019 at 04:41AM How are traders’ managing the S&P 500’s attempt to pare large losses and crude oil prices’ rebound? DailyFX sentiment data can offer a closer look. Continue Reading… […]

January 10, 2019 at 02:35AM The DXY Dollar Index faces a tentative reversal due to dovish Fed language, leading EUR/USD to finally clear 1.1500 resistance. Continue Reading… From: John Kicklighter https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2019/01/10/EURUSD-Finally-Breaks-but-Does-It-Rally-and-Will-SPX-Overcome-the-Shutdown.html Selected […]

January 10, 2019 at 02:35AM The DXY Dollar Index faces a tentative reversal due to dovish Fed language, leading EUR/USD to finally clear 1.1500 resistance. Continue Reading… From: John Kicklighter https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2019/01/10/EURUSD-Finally-Breaks-but-Does-It-Rally-and-Will-SPX-Overcome-the-Shutdown.html Selected […]

January 09, 2019 at 02:33AM The Dollar has pulled back from the technical ledge as a laundry list of issues prevent the currency from seizing on a particular threat. Meanwhile, the S&P […]

January 09, 2019 at 02:33AM The Dollar has pulled back from the technical ledge as a laundry list of issues prevent the currency from seizing on a particular threat. Meanwhile, the S&P […]

January 09, 2019 at 05:55AM Reversals are infrequent occurrences in the market, but they are among traders most frequent pursuits. And while ’V-tops’ would be ideal, head-and-shoulders patterns are more practical. Yet, […]

January 08, 2019 at 03:10AM US equities have extended Friday’s tentative break back above a technically-loaded pivot point, but the fundamentals are unmistakably uneven. Meanwhile, the Dollar is on the cusp of […]

January 08, 2019 at 03:10AM US equities have extended Friday’s tentative break back above a technically-loaded pivot point, but the fundamentals are unmistakably uneven. Meanwhile, the Dollar is on the cusp of […]

January 05, 2019 at 10:00AM While we have seen some remarkable volatility for US equities and even specific currencies – like the Yen flash crash – these past few weeks, the Dollar […]

January 05, 2019 at 04:29AM In the hierarchy of market phases, the reversal is hands down the most lucrative for hungry traders. The suggestion of near-ideal timing and potential for the resultant […]

January 05, 2019 at 04:29AM In the hierarchy of market phases, the reversal is hands down the most lucrative for hungry traders. The suggestion of near-ideal timing and potential for the resultant […]

January 05, 2019 at 03:20AM The S&P 500 ended this past week stoking a sense of hope among the despondent bulls with a break back above 2,520. Yet, is this a move […]

January 05, 2019 at 03:20AM The S&P 500 ended this past week stoking a sense of hope among the despondent bulls with a break back above 2,520. Yet, is this a move […]

January 04, 2019 at 04:30AM The extreme swing from the Japanese Yen no doubt qualifies as a flash crash – as does the drop from the Aussie Dollar and other certain assets. […]

January 04, 2019 at 03:22AM The S&P 500 and Dow would make a move that signals to technical traders an ominous progression for an overriding bearish trend. Will trade wars, flash crashes […]

January 03, 2019 at 05:28AM Whatever drives the US Dollar will most likely dictate the course of the global financial system. From broad risk trends to global monetary policy to a lack […]

January 03, 2019 at 02:52AM While the S&P 500 managed a recovery through active trade Wednesday, the official start of the new trading year came with much more uncertainty – including a […]

January 03, 2019 at 02:52AM While the S&P 500 managed a recovery through active trade Wednesday, the official start of the new trading year came with much more uncertainty – including a […]

December 29, 2018 at 03:00PM The fundamental backdrop looks exceptionally tumultuous with several conflicting themes and complications making it difficult for the market to establish a prevailing trend. Continue Reading… From: John […]