April 25, 2019 at 03:45AM Earnings were in peak form this past session between trade and growth-oriented bulwarks like Boeing and speculative favorites such as Facebook. With risk trends in focus ahead, […]
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Dollar Short of Breakout, SPX Hits New Technical High, Earnings Stir Trade Wars
April 24, 2019 at 02:46AM The return of liquidity seems to have revitalized an uneven appetite for risky assets. Will US earning continue to charge record highs without the global markets or […]
A Return of Liquidity Meets Earnings and a Potent S&P 500 Pattern
April 23, 2019 at 02:22AM The long holiday weekend is passed, but does that mean the markets are going to restore volatility and/or trend? The S&P 500 is loaded in a head-and-shoulders […]
Lessons for Traders On Extreme Volatility from 2017 and the Summer of 2014
April 22, 2019 at 10:30PM Despite jolts of volatility for financial markets in 2018, fear of further distress has all but vanished through 2019’s open. Sinking to extreme lows once again, what […]
EURUSD Counts Down to a Break but Euro Itself a Short-Term Bear Swing
April 21, 2019 at 02:00PM There is value in assessing the Euro’s technical potential through its most liquid cross – EURUSD – but traders would do well to consider the single currency’s […]
EURUSD Counts Down to a Break but Euro Itself a Short-Term Bear Swing
April 20, 2019 at 11:00AM There is value in assessing the Euro’s technical potential through its most liquid cross – EURUSD – but traders would do well to consider the single currency’s […]
Why the S&P 500 Will Struggle for a Record High and Dollar is Due a Break
April 18, 2019 at 04:07AM The United States’ tech-heavy Nasdaq has hit a record high, but the enthusiasm doesn’t seem to stretch to the Dow or S&P 500, much less broader risk […]
Can Dow Hit a Record, Dollar Restore Its Run Next Week?
April 13, 2019 at 04:00AM The Dow and S&P 500 are less than 2 percent away from all-time (intraday) highs. With risk trends discounting threats like a slowdown in growth, are we […]
AUDUSD Flirts with 200 Day Moving Average, AUDJPY Earns Strong Break
April 12, 2019 at 11:00PM Is the Australian Dollar starting to rekindle its correlation to general risk trends or perhaps this climb is self-motivated? With tentative bullish breaks being put in, conviction […]
S&P 500 Activity Hits 6-Month Low Stone’s Through from Record, Dollar Range Extreme
April 12, 2019 at 02:06AM With the IMF’s warnings and ECB decision passed, the threats to systemic fundamental themes are behind us. Volatility is in turn dropping even further. How should traders […]
S&P 500 and VIX Belie Financial Risks Even the IMF is Telegraphing
April 11, 2019 at 02:07AM The IMF followed its downgrade on growth forecasts with a warning over a list of financial threats moving forward. Markets seemed to pay the concern little head, […]
S&P 500 Breaks Most Consistent Bull Trend in 15 Years, Ready for EURGBP Shock
April 10, 2019 at 02:29AM The IMF delivered a further downgrade to its growth forecast and refreshed its list of concerns over financial risks. The occasion earned the S&P its first slip […]
S&P 500 Matches Longest Climb in 15 Years, EURUSD Sates Range Traders’ Appetites
April 09, 2019 at 02:06AM An eight-day rally is an occasion that will draw considerable speculative interest – especially when the target is S&P 500 with a 15-year pedigree and is so […]
Crude Oil Prices Hit Fresh 5-Month High with Eyes Glued on Dow and Risk
April 06, 2019 at 05:00AM US crude oil prices put in for another impressive 5 percent climb this past week. That ups the tally for consecutive bullish weeks to five – matching […]
Dow Record Is Within View; Traders Committing to Dollar, Euro, Pound Ranges
April 06, 2019 at 02:32AM The Dow is within reach of a record high, but risk appetite of that measure is far from universal. Is there confidence to be found in trade […]
S&P 500 Slows Advance to Record High, USDJPY Offers Extreme Signals
April 05, 2019 at 02:12AM President Trump offered up a questionable but bullish-leaning trade war update in US-Chinese negotiations, but the news hit after the US markets closed. Will NFPs help or […]
EURUSD Holds 1.1200 from Now, Dow Ignoring WTO’s GDP Slash
April 04, 2019 at 02:21AM With a make-or-break technical decision, EURUSD traders decided to hold the 1.1200-line. Market conditions likely had more to do with that decision than true fundamentals. The same […]
Dow’s Growth Rally Stalls, EURUSD Still Hasn’t Committed at 1.1200
April 03, 2019 at 12:53AM The growth-led charge in risk assets to start the week, month and quarter has already stumbled. Will data ahead revive or capsize risk trends? Meanwhile, will EURUSD […]
Dow and Yields Swell as Data Boosts Growth Hope, Don’t Buy In
April 02, 2019 at 02:09AM The S&P 500 gapped higher on the open the fifth day in a row and the Dow broke range resistance. Risk appetite was in play to start […]
S&P 500 Ends Quarter Strong, Pound Hit on Brexit Again, Dollar Reaps
March 30, 2019 at 01:17AM The quarter closed with some modest sense of enthusiasm. The S&P 500 and crude oil prices closed out their best quarters in a decade, but more recent […]
Crude Oil Prices Edge to 5-Month High, Doesn’t Feel Like a ’Breakout’
March 29, 2019 at 10:00PM US crude oil prices closed out this past week with a sense of progress that varies according to what time frame you evaluate. While the quarter (Q1) […]
S&P 500 or GBPUSD, Which is More Likely to Break First?
March 29, 2019 at 01:43AM The S&P 500 is on pace to close its best quarter in a decade even though systemic risks are on the rise. Meanwhile, whether you trade Dollar, […]
Dow’s Sidling Up for a Break, Dollar Gains Despite Itself, Brexit Headline Chaos
March 28, 2019 at 01:52AM Risk trends are biding time until the next critical break for risk trends is made. In the meantime, the Dollar is taking advantage of its ‘counterpart’ appeal […]
Dow’s Biggest Bullish Gap in 2 Months Holds Little Promise, Euro Sinks EURUSD
March 27, 2019 at 01:44AM A hefty gap higher followed by absolutely no follow through: the performance from the benchmark US equity index is a remarkable stand in for the sentiment conducting […]
Recession Concerns Not Yet a Market Panic, Dollar and Pound Face Struggle
March 26, 2019 at 01:27AM Though risk appetite has not regained traction, averting an avalanche of fear after last week’s recession fixation is likely a relief for bulls. Established troubles have not […]
British Pound Volatility Continues and a Break Is Inevitable…
March 23, 2019 at 10:00AM The Pound exhibited extraordinary volatility these past weeks as the markets chewed over Brexit uncertainties. As uncertainty prevails, a breakout will be tough to secure; but exceptional […]
S&P 500’s Slide Alongside GDP Fears and Political Risks Bring Weekend Anxiety
March 23, 2019 at 01:09AM This past week ended with an unmistakable stumble in all things risk sensitive. With palpable concerns of recession, flailing monetary policy efforts and renewed political risk; the […]
Dollar Avoids Bearish Breakdown for Now, Dow Climbs Despite Growth Concerns
March 22, 2019 at 01:45AM A notable stall in risk trends after the Fed’s dovish shift has lifted with a bounce from US equities. Is it enough for a risk run? What […]
Caveats to a EURUSD Break and Questions for S&P 500 Slip After Fed
March 21, 2019 at 02:30AM The Fed has made clear that it is easing up the reigns on normalization, but the favorable turn in monetary policy is being met with the same […]
S&P 500 Hit by Trade War Rumors, EURUSD Ready to Break on Fed
March 20, 2019 at 03:17AM The market’s focus is slowly but surely shifting onto the upcoming Fed rate decision – and for good reason. Yet, as important as this key rate decision […]
Fed Decision Threatens to Upend Unprepared Dollar, Risk Markets
March 19, 2019 at 11:59PM The Fed rate decision on tap Wednesday is arguably this week’s top scheduled event risk. Speculation over rate forecasting is only one facet of this meeting’s critical […]
Fed Decision Threatens to Upend Unprepared Dollar, Risk Markets
March 20, 2019 at 11:59PM The Fed rate decision on tap Wednesday is arguably this week’s top scheduled event risk. Speculation over rate forecasting is only one facet of this meeting’s critical […]
S&P 500 Shows Little Enthusiasm After ’Break’, Expect Same from EURUSD
March 19, 2019 at 01:23AM The S&P 500 cleared resistance late last week, but there is little appetite to flood in behind the break. EURUSD and GBPUSD seem on the cusp of […]
Dollar Reverses in Large Range, EURUSD Pressure Builds Towards Break
March 16, 2019 at 04:00PM The DXY Dollar Index suffered its worst week’s performance since August, but the technical picture looks no closure to resolution of its persistently narrowing range. What are […]
Charging Dollar, Pound and Euro Breaks from Fed, Brexit and PMIs
March 16, 2019 at 01:46AM The S&P 500 and crude have earned the most technical of breakouts but follow through is all but absent. Technical progress requires fundamental motivation in these markets […]
S&P 500 Makes No Move to Break, Pound Absorbs Another Brexit Delay
March 15, 2019 at 02:34AM The markets are delivering serious unrequited love to traders as the S&P 500 refuses to make something out of its public resistance hold, oil offers no breakout […]
Neither S&P 500 Nor GBPUSD Will Find Breakouts Easy to Support
March 14, 2019 at 02:57AM Breakout hopes are high in the markets as we head into the second half of the week. While most assets are still forming some measure of range, […]
Dollar Traders On Alert After EURUSD’s 1.1200 Slip Pushes DXY to Ceiling
March 09, 2019 at 04:00PM With considerable help from the Euro via EURUSD, the Dollar posted a dramatic charge this past week to test a key range high resistance. After a Friday […]
S&P 500 Reversal, Dollar Break and Gold Trend Could All Follow a Single Source
March 09, 2019 at 03:12AM This past week was loaded with technical potential between the US indices reversing, EURUSD pressuring 1.1200 support and gold jumping back to the bulls. Are these moves […]
A Break Lower for S&P 500 Prices and EURUSD – Are These Trends?
March 08, 2019 at 01:51AM Given the extreme lows in volatility across the market, the impressive drop from the S&P 500 and EURUSD this past session has drawn a lot of attention. […]
Dow Groans Under Weak GDP Signals, Will ECB Trigger Same Volatility as BOC?
March 07, 2019 at 01:43AM Fundamentals are starting to grow more serious and volatility is starting to show through. GDP took center stage this past session and monetary policy will make an […]
S&P 500 and Risk Keep Fragile Hold as Growth Updates Come In
March 05, 2019 at 11:04PM Trade wars may be easing, but fears over growth are rising. Risk trends are tuned into the cross winds with the S&P 500 dangling after its technical […]
S&P 500 Shaken to Start the Week, A Run of Rate Decisions Begins
March 05, 2019 at 04:30AM The new trading week did not start off on a strong footing as the US indices came under serious pressure and the range of risk assets followed […]
Euro, Dollar and Aussie: The Most Difficult FX Majors this Week
March 05, 2019 at 12:43AM Volatility and scheduled event risk are a natural draw for traders, regardless of market, analytical approach or time frame. Yet, with volatility comes risk. That’s what defines […]
Dollar Forces EURUSD Break of Least Resistance, Other Crosses Loaded
March 02, 2019 at 04:00PM From the DXY Dollar Index, this past week ended with a break following a path of least resistance. Yet, when we look at pairs other than the […]
EURUSD Faces Inevitable Breakout but Can the ECB and NFP Really Trigger It?
March 02, 2019 at 12:18AM The focus may shift in the week ahead from trade wars to growth, but the quiet registered in benchmarks like the S&P 500 and EURUSD should not […]
EURUSD Faces Inevitable Breakout but Can the ECB and NFP Really Trigger It?
March 02, 2019 at 12:18AM The focus may shift in the week ahead from trade wars to growth, but the quiet registered in benchmarks like the S&P 500 and EURUSD should not […]
S&P 500 Still Not Committing to Reversal, Pound Run Slows and Dollar’s Questionable
March 01, 2019 at 03:35AM The S&P 500 and Dow may have triggered overt technical reversals, but that is not providing any sort of follow through. Will Fed speculation move the Dollar […]
S&P 500 Tips Breakdown as Trade Wars Lift and Market Prepares for US GDP
February 28, 2019 at 02:11AM Trade wars and Brexit risks have faded significantly, but does that give the S&P 500 and Pound clearance for unchecked trends? Meanwhile, top event risk in US […]
A Skew on the Pound’s Potential Via Brexit Near-Term
February 27, 2019 at 04:04AM UK PM May has curbed the anticipated impact of today’s Parliamentary session, but Brexit remains a top concern for Pound and capital market traders. What scenarios should […]
A Skew on the Pound’s Potential Via Brexit Near-Term
February 27, 2019 at 04:04AM UK PM May has curbed the anticipated impact of today’s Parliamentary session, but Brexit remains a top concern for Pound and capital market traders. What scenarios should […]
Dow Jones Trade War Momentum Ebbs, Dollar Sinks on Powell, Pound Surges Amid Brexit Talk
February 27, 2019 at 01:33AM More significant movement was registered in the global markets this past session from risk assets, the Dollar and Pound. Yet, it didn’t exactly align to what a […]
Dow Jones Trade War Momentum Ebbs, Dollar Sinks on Powell, Pound Surges Amid Brexit Talk
February 27, 2019 at 01:33AM More significant movement was registered in the global markets this past session from risk assets, the Dollar and Pound. Yet, it didn’t exactly align to what a […]
S&P 500 Jumps on News of Trump’s Trade War Delay but Where’s the Follow Through?
February 26, 2019 at 01:35AM This week has kicked off with incredible headlines on trade wars and Brexit, but you wouldn’t know it from the S&P 500 or Pound alone. Speculation is […]
Dollar Faces Volatility Potential but Breakout and Trends are Still Far Reach
February 23, 2019 at 04:00PM There is a high probability of volatility for the global financial markets and across FX this week, but will the jump in activity translate into a meaningful […]
My Top 3 Charts to Watch for Trade Wars, Volatility and Growth in Speculation
February 23, 2019 at 07:00AM A number of key themes are under power and there is a range of high profile event risk due over the coming week. That said there are […]
Trade War Breakthrough, Fed Testimony, Key Brexit Vote and More Ahead
February 23, 2019 at 01:23AM A host of fundamental themes – including trade wars and fears of recession – continue to prod global markets, but commitment to fear or greed is still […]
Recession Fears Rise, Trade War Negotiation Continue, Markets Start to Slip
February 22, 2019 at 02:41AM A host of fundamental themes – including trade wars and fears of recession – continue to prod global markets, but commitment to fear or greed is still […]
Fed and ECB Updates Test EURUSD’s Restraint, Volatility Plumbs Extremes
February 21, 2019 at 03:33AM Monetary policy is once again a critical fundamental theme with the FOMC minutes signaling a floor on QE and the ECB on deck today. Will the two […]
Pound Rallies, Dollar Drops, Dow and Gold Sustain Run All Without Reliable Drive
February 20, 2019 at 03:40AM US markets were back online after an extended holiday weekend. Will a rebound in liquidity accelerate the S&P 500’s climb? Is the FX’s top mover, GBPUSD, more […]
Top Three Foreign Exchange Macro Themes to Watch This Week
February 18, 2019 at 05:35PM Top-down market themes will continue to drive FX-moves and sentiment this week with US-China trade wars, potential EU auto-tariffs and FX volatility all battling for headline space. […]
Dollar Within Reach of Two-Year High but Reversal Pressure High
February 16, 2019 at 04:00PM The Dollar closed out another positive week, but progress towards the multi-year highs set in November and December is frustratingly slow for bulls. So, is it provocative […]
Are a Dow Return to Record, Dollar Breakout Possible This Week?
February 16, 2019 at 03:40AM This past week closed with a strong charge higher for the Dow and crude while typical offsets in gold and the Dollar were also firm. This collective […]
My Top 3 Charts to Watch Over the Coming Week
February 16, 2019 at 03:36AM With US indices climbing rapidly, emerging markets ready to close the speculative gap and other charts running or gearing up for a charge; what three charts are […]
USDCHF – One of My Favorite Alternative Dollar Scenario Options
February 15, 2019 at 04:17AM My medium-term outlook for the US Dollar is bearish owing to its position with risk trends, the shift in monetary policy views and systemic questions related to […]
S&P 500 Readies Reversal as Global Growth Cools, Will EURUSD Break?
February 15, 2019 at 02:59AM Trade wars and averting the next US government shutdown remain key headlines for the financial markets, but clear growth readings from the majors take out some of […]
NZDUSD – Select a Pair With Both a Strong and Weak Currency
February 14, 2019 at 03:55AM Post-RBNZ, the New Zealand Dollar rallied across the board, and NZDUSD was no exception. Yet, was this the best outlook to take advantage of the volatility? Is […]
Dollar Jumps Despite CPI, Dow Climb Stalls as Risk Trends Struggle
February 14, 2019 at 02:50AM How much conviction is there behind the market’s more impressive moves? US equities nudged slightly higher this past session but risk assets struggled. Dollar was recharged after […]
SPX, Dollar, Oil – Are Markets Range, Trend or Breakout Oriented?
February 13, 2019 at 05:05AM There are three types of market conditions: range, trend and breakout. We dynamically change through these states, but genuine transition happens infrequently. What is our state currently […]
S&P 500 Advances – Modestly – On Possible Trade War, Shutdown Breakthroughs
February 13, 2019 at 03:48AM Should we be optimistic? There were reports this past session that the hard trade war cutoff date (March 1) was growing more flexible and a deal to […]
EURUSD and USDMXN – At What Point Do Caveats Outweigh Appeal?
February 12, 2019 at 04:50AM There is compelling technical, fundamental and conditions analysis to be found in the current reflections of EURUSD and USDMXN. Yet, whether these are viable trade considerations for […]
Dollar Extends an 8-Day Rally, Pound Battered by Data
February 12, 2019 at 02:24AM Traditional measures of ‘risk trends’ were listless to start the week; but strong moves from the Dollar, Pound and more signal that these markets are still clearly […]
Dollar Matches Longest Climb Since November 2016, Is it a Trend?
February 09, 2019 at 06:00PM A seven-day rally for the Dollar was an impressive stretch through this past week, but it hasn’t put the currency in a position to trigger breakouts or […]
Range, Break or Trend Conditions for Dollar, Euro, Pound?
February 09, 2019 at 04:45AM Environment has a lot to do with determining whether a specific currency’s breakout stalls or continues forward undeterred. What are the conditions we face with the broader […]
What are the Chances of a S&P 500 Reversal, EURUSD Breakout, Gold Trend Next Week?
February 09, 2019 at 04:39AM The week ahead does not lack for market-moving theme or event risk. Yet, that doesn’t make the establishment of trend any easier to accomplish. What trading approach […]
What to Expect from EURUSD Run, GBPUSD Stall and S&P 500 Correction Friday
February 08, 2019 at 03:10AM Trade wars and global monetary policy are competing for the attention of the markets sparking equal parts speculation and fear. Caught up in the middle of it […]
S&P 500 Has a Technical Stall, Dollar Accelerates and Pound Readies for BOE Decision
February 07, 2019 at 05:02AM The S&P 500’s climb has produced an inside day on very thin volume. We shouldn’t call a turn, but it is something for which we should remain […]
Number One Spark for a Dollar Bullish Resurgence
February 07, 2019 at 03:04AM Fading growth forecasts, a drop in Fed rate projections and blowback from anti-trade policies pose a general threat to the US Dollar. Yet, there is one, increasingly […]
S&P 500 Notches Fresh Two-Month High as VIX Drops, UN Issues Stark Trade War Warning
February 06, 2019 at 04:41AM The markets continue to edge higher but enthusiasm is critically lacking in this crawl higher. Will warnings over trade wars from the UN or events like the […]
Is the Australian Dollar Impervious, Disconnected or Temporarily Side-Tracked?
February 05, 2019 at 06:00AM Lately, we have seen extraordinary swings in risk trends, shifts in the standings of global monetary policy and a run of data that has raised economic fears […]
Will the Nasdaq and S&P 500 Finally Find FAANG Earnings Leverage on Google’s Beat?
February 05, 2019 at 04:00AM Monetary policy and tangible economic cooling have not translated into a meaningful course or pace correction for the S&P 500 and other capital market benchmarks. Will the […]
Will the Nasdaq and S&P 500 Finally Find FAANG Earnings Leverage on Google’s Beat?
February 05, 2019 at 04:00AM Monetary policy and tangible economic cooling have not translated into a meaningful course or pace correction for the S&P 500 and other capital market benchmarks. Will the […]
Dollar Avoids Critical Breakdown, But for How Long?
February 02, 2019 at 06:00PM The Dollar extended its tumble this past week helped along by the Fed’s dovish tone. Yet when it was time to establish conviction, bears couldn’t break 8-month […]
